Recent Data Suggests You Shouldn’t Spend Another Dime on Home Improvements Before Speaking With a Local Real Estate Agent
Lighter Side of Real Estate • June 14, 2023
If you do renovations or home improvements to your house, common sense says that doing so would raise the value, right?
The good news is that they do increase the value of your house!
The not-so-great news is that the amount your home goes up in value probably won’t be as much as you even spent on the project…
In fact, as CNBC recently reported, according to the 2023 Cost vs. Value Report, only 4 home improvement projects produce a positive return-on-investment. And if that’s not surprising enough, they probably aren’t even ones you’d think would make the list! The current projects that will net you the most profit when you sell your house are:
- Switching out a traditional furnace to a heat pump. That’ll put an extra $619 in your pocket based upon national averages.Replacing your garage door. That will add $116 to your bank account.
- Replace your siding with a stone veneer. Add $192 to your balance sheet.
- Change out your front door with a new steel door. Treat yourself to some lunch with the $21 you’ll recoup.
If you combined all four of those exact home improvement projects, you can expect to net a whopping $948!
The big, sexy projects most people think about doing to improve value — like a full-blown renovation of an existing bathroom or kitchen — will certainly add value, but they won’t increase the value as much as they cost to do. Those types of projects recoup less than 50% of what they cost a homeowner.
That said, those are based upon national data and averages. Here’s a link to the data CNBC cited in their article, which allows you to choose your specific area to get a better idea for how much you can expect to recoup on a project where you live. But the general gist is always the same: Very few projects will produce a positive return, regardless of where you live. And when they do, it’s rarely all that much of a return.
Should You Even Update or Renovate Your House at All?!
Once the initial shock wears off, the next question most homeowners have is whether they should waste any time or money on improving their house at all. But before you decide to never spend another cent or minute of your time on your house, here are a few things to consider:
- Updates and renovations will make your house more attractive and appealing to potential homebuyers.
- An outdated house (or one in need of repairs) can bring your value down. You need to maintain your house to about the level of other homes in the area, if you want to fetch a similar price to other recently sold homes.
- If your home isn’t updated, it can take a longer time to sell, or not sell at all, if it’s a slow market.
So you still need to make sure you’re keeping your house in good shape, and improving it over the years, if you want your house to sell readily and for as much as possible.
Things to Do and Keep In Mind if You Renovate
In order to maximize the money you spend on home improvements, here are a few key things you should do:
- Speak to a local real estate agent before doing any projects. Basing your decision upon national (or even regional) data can be misleading and inaccurate. Just because a particular type of project tends to produce a better return, and another does not in most areas, that might not be the case in your specific price range and market. A local agent will be able to help you assess whether or not a project will improve the value of your home enough to make it worth the investment.
- Don’t underestimate the value of your enjoyment. While a project may not produce a positive financial return, that doesn’t mean it won’t give you great satisfaction and enjoyment. There’s nothing saying you have to make money on the projects and home improvements you do, so long as you know what to expect ahead of time and aren’t surprised when you decide to sell.
- Be frugal and thoughtful about what you spend on improvements. New and updated is better even if it isn’t the highest end finishes or materials. Unless you’re in the luxury market, you can probably get away with doing lower-grade upgrades if you’re concerned about making as much of your money back as possible.
- Keep it neutral and universal. If you’re concerned about recouping as much money as possible, try to do projects and updates that will appeal to almost every buyer by keeping them neutral in style and color.
The Takeaway:
Many homeowners are surprised that their home renovations and improvements don’t increase the value of their home as much as they hoped, or even as much as they cost to do, when they decide to sell their house. But the reality is, very few projects produce a positive return-on-investment, and it isn’t very much of a return when they do.
If you want to maximize your ROI on home improvements, make sure to speak with a local real estate agent to help you assess whether a project makes sense before you spend time and money on it.
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Are Builders Overbuilding Again? Let’s Look at the Facts. If it feels like you’re seeing new construction signs pop up everywhere, you’re not wrong. Builders have been busy. And it’s left some people wondering: Are we overbuilding like we did right before the 2008 housing crash ? No matter what you may hear in the news, there’s no reason for alarm. In reality, data shows builders aren’t racing ahead, they’re actually starting to tap the brakes. Builders Are Pulling Back, Not Piling On Permits (applications to start building new homes) are one of the best early indicators for what's next for home construction. And right now, building permits are trending down, not up . Here’s why that’s so important. In the years before the housing crash of 2008, builders really ramped up their production of single-family homes (the red arrow in the graph below). And unfortunately, they built far more homes than the market actually needed. That oversupply led to falling home prices. That’s what so many people remember, and what they worry will happen again. But while construction has been picking back up since roughly 2012, we’re not headed for a repeat of the same mistakes. The latest data available shows builders are actually starting construction on fewer homes right now (the green arrow in the graph below): New data from the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) confirms that trend. It shows that single-family building permits have fallen for eight straight months . The Slowdown Isn’t Random, It’s Intentional Basically, builders are watching and reacting to today’s economic conditions and buyer demand in real time. And they’re pumping the brakes on their pipelines to avoid getting caught with too much unsold inventory. As Ali Wolf, Chief Economist at Zonda, says : “. . . builders are still working through their backlog of inventory but are more cautious with new starts.” That’s a big contrast to what happened before the housing crash, when overconfidence led to record-breaking levels of new home construction – even as demand was dropping. Today’s builders aren’t overconfident. They’re listening to the market and adjusting before things get out of balance. The Regional Picture Tells the Same Story And while inventory is going to vary a lot based on where you live, if you zoom out and look at regional data, the pattern holds almost everywhere (see graph below): NAHB reports single-family permits are down in nearly every part of the country, with just one region showing a slight uptick. And even there, the growth is so small, it’s practically flat. Why This Isn’t 2008 All Over Again In the lead up to the crash, builders kept building long after demand had disappeared. This time, they’re slowing down early, and that’s a good thing. The market actually needs more homes after years of underbuilding. But builders are making sure they don’t have to overcorrect. They're being intentional about how many homes they’re building right now. So yes, you’re seeing more new homes for sale today, but that doesn’t mean we’re oversupplied nationally. It means buyers finally have more options, and builders are pacing themselves to keep things in check. They’re not going to flood the market. And that’s a really good thing for housing overall. Bottom Line Seeing more new homes for sale doesn’t mean builders are overdoing it. Since building permits have been declining for eight straight months, it’s clear this isn’t an out-of-control boom. It’s a measured recovery. If you want to know more about what builders are doing in our area, let’s connect.
The Housing Market Is Turning a Corner Going into 2026 After several years of high mortgage rates and hesitation from buyers, momentum is quietly building beneath the surface of the housing market. Sellers are reappearing. Buyers are re-engaging. And for the first time in what feels like forever, there’s movement happening again. No, it’s not a surge. But it is a shift – and it’s one that could set the stage for a stronger year in 2026. So, what’s driving the comeback? Here are three big trends that are slowly breathing life back into the housing market right now. 1. Mortgage Rates Have Been Coming Down Mortgage rates are always going to have their ups and downs – that's just how rates work. Especially with the general economic uncertainty right now, some volatility is to be expected. But, if you zoom out, it’s the larger trend that really matters most. And overall, rates have been trending down for most of this year (see graph below): And in just the last few months, we’ve seen the best rates of 2025. According to Sam Khater, Chief Economist at Freddie Mac: “On a median-priced home, this could allow a homebuyer to save thousands annually compared to earlier this year, showing that affordability is slowly improving. ” Here's why that matters for you. This shift changes what you can actually afford. It means lower borrowing costs and more buying power. Take this as an example. Data from Redfin shows a buyer with a $3,000 monthly budget can now afford roughly $25,000 more home than they could one year ago. That’s a big deal. And it’s just one of the reasons why activity is picking up. 2. More Homeowners Are Ready To Sell For a while, many homeowners stayed put because they didn’t want to give up their low mortgage rate. That “lock-in effect” kept inventory tight. And while plenty of homeowners are still staying where they are today, the number of rate-locked homeowners is starting to ease as rates come down. Life changes are becoming a bigger part of what’s driving more people to move, and that’s opening up more inventory. Data from Realtor.com shows just how much the number of homes for sale has grown. And the really interesting part is that the market is approaching levels that haven’t been seen for the past six years (see the blue on the graph below): That return to more normal inventory levels is a really good thing. It gives buyers more options than they’ve had in years. And it’s helping to bring the market closer to balance. 3. More Buyers Are Re-Entering the Market And it’s not just sellers making moves. With more options and slightly better affordability, buyers are getting back in the game, too. The Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) reports purchase applications are up compared to last year, a clear signal that demand is building again (see graph below): And experts think this momentum will continue. Economists from Fannie Mae , the Mortgage Bankers Association ( MBA ), and the National Association of Realtors (NAR) all forecast moderate sales growth going into 2026. Now, this recovery won’t happen overnight. It’s not a flood of activity. But it is the start of steady improvement going into 2026. And that's something a lot of people have been waiting for. Bottom Line After several slower-than-normal years, the market is finally starting to turn a corner. Declining mortgage rates, more listings, and growing buyer activity all point to a market gaining real traction. Let’s connect to talk about what’s happening in our local market and how you can make the most of it in 2026.
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